Last year Cats Illustrated publisher Justin Rowland introduced the Cats Illustrated Ultimate Roster Breakdown (read, remember and pass hindsight-powered judgement here).
With camp beginning very soon and with Kentucky's coaches starting to discuss their 2018 team with the media in various settings, it's the perfect time to present the second annual edition of what turned out to be a popular piece.
Last year's Ultimate Roster Breakdown was constructed with the benefit of a depth chart that had already been made public. Kentucky has not yet released a preseason depth chart so this year's version will be more unofficial. Included here are all of the players who are expected to, or reasonably could, see the field at length for Kentucky in 2018.
We'll lay out Kentucky's returning lettermen and potential contributors one-by-one, sorted by position groups, and run down where things seem to stand in terms of their last year, their readiness to contribute, and what fans might expect to see from them.
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Depth Rating (1-10): 6
Experience Rating (1-10): 1
Potential Rating (1-10): 7
Overall Strength: 5/10
Explanation: Kentucky doesn't have a quarterback who has played a snap of live action in a Division I college football game. The reason everyone's talking about the position and tracking everything the coaches say is because it's a great unknown and how the starter plays could be the difference in several games in the win/column. It will even possibly determine how aggressively Kentucky makes its calls on defense and the tempo the Cats strive to play games at. On paper this is not one of the better or more enviable quarterback situations in the SEC. That doesn't mean fans should be pessimistic at all. If anything Darin Hinshaw's work with Stephen Johnson in an unexpected pinch is the best reason for optimism. But until someone proves himself against good competition it's going to be the talk of the UK football world. We'll learn a lot in Week 2 when either Wilson or Hoak leads the Cats into Gainesville and one of the nation's loudest stadiums against a characteristically fast, if down, Florida team.
Depth (1-10): 6
Experience (1-10): 7
Potential (1-10): 10
Overall Strength: 9.5 / 10
Explanation: Sometimes it's tough to compare units on different teams. Phil Steele ranks Kentucky's running backs unit sixth in the SEC but that's very subjective and based largely on the unproven depth chart behind Snell. It's true other teams might have more proven depth than Kentucky, but not many teams in college football have a record-shattering, durable workhorse who plays fearlessly and gets stronger over time. That counts for a lot. Snell is experienced, can carry a load and is elite. He may be the SEC's best running back and the best in UK history. Behind him King actually does have quite a bit of experience and probably doesn't get his due. The depth situation is probably much better than conference and national pundits think. It's not a stretch to think that between Rose, Smoke and Rodriguez, Kentucky can find someone who will cause jaws to drop at some point this year. Eddie Gran has a fairly decent track record as a running back coach, too.
Depth (1-10): 3
Experience (1-10): 3
Potential (1-10): 6
Overall Strength (1-10): 4
Explanation: In a best-case scenario its easy to see those ratings look silly at the end of the season. But the question is how likely a best-case scenario is. Kentucky's 1, 2 and 3 receivers on paper are Tavin Richardson, Dorian Baker and Lynn Bowden. In terms of real production their histories don't stack up with the units you see at Missouri, South Carolina, Ole Miss or elsewhere at a lot of SEC schools. That doesn't mean they lack potential. If Bowden becomes the player everyone hopes that changes things quite a bit. He's only a true sophomore and has a new quarterback to adjust to but he has All-SEC talent and potential, even if that's an off the radar possibility according to SEC media. The best case scenario has Bowden breaking out, Richardson continuing a steady progression, Baker staying healthy as the best version of himself and Ali and/or Epps developing into one of the team's most surprising offensive performers. But there are a lot of challenges for Michael Smith in his first year as UK's receivers coach. Though Smith has largely been known as a recruiter his track record coaching wideouts is impressive and that's a positive. He won't make excuses for the group and is challenging them to hate the idea of dragging the offense down. In other words, the most pressure these receivers will face isn't from the fans - it will be in their position meetings.
Depth (1-10): 6.5
Experience (1-10): 7
Potential (1-10): 8.5
Overall Strength (1-10): 8
Explanation: The pieces are there for Kentucky's tight ends to have a big year. Vince Marrow's players have stepped up when their names have been called dating back to their overperforming in that first year with a depleted roster. The question is whether Kentucky's offense is going to cater to the tight end position as much as some others across the country. If Conrad and Johnson had a little better timing and rhythm in 2016 the perception would probably be different. It's probably true to say the tight ends have never been the problem even when Kentucky's offense has struggled in the Stoops' era. Will they be part of the solution that kicks things into high gear and diversifies an attack beyond the Snell Show? Conrad and Rigg need to stay healthy and quickly develop a rapport with the starter.
Depth (1-10): 6
Experience (1-10): 7
Potential (1-10): 8
Overall Strength (1-10): 7
Explanation: Offensive tackle is one spot where it's really hard to build depth. While its often said that recruiting defensive linemen is the hardest thing Kentucky does (that's probably true), the pool of 6'6, 315-pound recruits who can shuffle their feet and keep all that weight balanced is very small. Kentucky is at least blessed with experienced starters and an enormous wealth of prospect pedigree in the five-star Young, Price the former Trojan, Asafo-Adjei (who was watched very closely by Ohio State) and Watkins. There is a question as to how the backups would fare if they have to play because they haven't faced that before. Asafo-Adjei and Young don't enjoy quite the same prestige as the interior of the line according to most college football analysts but it's conceivable they could be one of the SEC's better pairs.
Depth (1-10): 5.5
Experience (1-10): 8
Potential (1-10): 9
Overall Strength (1-10): 8.5
Explanation: There aren't many teams in the SEC or any other league with a pair of starters who can be as good as Stenberg and Stallings if they play to peak potential. The duo is experienced, physical and play with a mean streak. Fortner would likely be a capable backup but there isn't much experience behind the starters so depth is probably a little more of a question at guard than it has been a couple of other years under Stoops. It's always possible UK could get creative and switch Asafo-Adjei back inside if they must but that's obviously not Plan A.
Depth (1-10): 3
Experience (1-10): 6.5
Potential (1-10): 8
Overall Strength (1-10): 7
Explanation: If Kentucky's coaches look at the center position, see Jackson and shrug thinking their bases are covered you'd have to forgive them. Jackson is the prototypical player at the position and from his skill set to his intelligence, his technique and the chip on his shoulders, he's just a center. Plain and simple. He now has a track record of SEC success. But the situation behind him is a little unsettled and it's never a good thing if you only have one game-ready center. Wolfe's development there is very important.
OVERALL IMPRESSIONS OF THE OFFENSE PRE-CAMP
The above breakdown won't be agreed upon in all respects by everyone or anyone reading but it does contain plenty of factual information. The stats, starts and roster are what they are. Preseason talk counts for nothing but it's all we've got for at least a few more days.
So what are some takeaways from what's laid out above?
Basically Kentucky's offensive situation is very easy to define. It's not controversial and there isn't room for a lot of hot takes.
We know Benny Snell should be outstanding running behind an experienced, physical offensive line. The question is whether the ground game remains not only the bread and butter but the only reliable part of the system, or whether a new (healthy) starter at quarterback, some younger receivers, a couple of healthy tight ends and some potential-laden tackles can give Kentucky its best passing game since Mike Hartline's last year.
Kentucky fans shouldn't take the run game success for granted. For years the offense was in the wilderness entirely with nothing to hang its hat on. At least now there's an identity. But proficiency, efficiency and regular explosiveness in the passing game has proven to be the program's great white whale under a number of successive quarterbacks: Max Smith, Jalen Whitlow, Patrick Towles, Drew Barker, Stephen Johnson, under Stoops at least. But those struggles predate that.
The quarterback battle is ongoing and the quarterback play is, as always, an X-Factor. The potential is there, but if you're an SEC program you'd better have a couple of options that can at least claim "potential." Are they names, or are they gamers?
Having an overpowering, crazed bowling ball of a record-setting running back should make balance easier to achieve but if real balance (2,000 rushing, 2,000 passing is not balance in 2018; it's good running and poor passing) doesn't happen then in this day and age a great running back can only take you so far. At any level of football.
Kentucky's depth on offense is fair but mostly unproven. Not many programs have proven depth because starters generally tend to eat into the experience backups otherwise might have gained. There's more depth at running back than last year, at least in theory, but up and down the "twos" from quarterback to receiver, from tackle to guard and center, we just don't really know what Kentucky's working with.
A final point: While the focus here is Kentucky and not the opponents looming in September, October and November, its fair to remind ourselves that the Wildcats won't face a lot of overpowering defenses in 2018. That's a good thing.
Georgia should be fantastic again, though in search of leaders. Mississippi State's defensive line is a problem. South Carolina should be improved - but how much? Florida is always fast. But from Texas A&M, Tennessee, Vanderbilt and Missouri to Louisville on down the rest of the non-conference slate, there aren't a lot of units that will strike fear into a quarterback's heart when he's going through warmups.